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It's 4%, AKA the Go Fuck Yourself Post.
#89
I'll post it again:

The probability of any raid member being targetted "X" times in a row is (1/25)^(X).

I.E.
1 time = (1/25)^(1) = 4%
2 times in a row = (1/25)^(2) = .16%
3 times in a row = (1/25)^(3) = .0064%
4 times in a row = (1/25)^(4) = .000256%

That is perfectly clear. Simply plug in the numbers into the correct forumula. You try it.
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