It's 4%, AKA the Go Fuck Yourself Post.

[Roj]

OMG you cannot make this statement you moron.

F(4,5) = 0 since X < Y.

Read my post, X=5 and Y=5

Probability of a random person in raid getting targetted X times in a row with Y amount of chases

F(X,Y) = 0 when Y>X
F(X,Y) = 1 when Y = 1 *Edit: broke my own equation LOL
F(X,Y) = .04^(Y-1) + .96F(X-1,Y)

But because you're retarded I'll use different numbers:

1. Probability of a random person in raid getting targetted 5 times in a row with 4 amount of chases

Oh wait, how can you be targetted 5 times in 4 chases? Impossible.

2. Probability of a random person in raid getting targetted 4 times in a row with 5 amount of chases

Oh wait according to your formula F(X,Y) = 0 when Y>X this equals 0.

NICE FORMULA JACKASS